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A year has passed since Israel and the United Arab Emirates normalized ties in a US-brokered agreement, leading to a raft of deals ranging from tourism and aviation to cutting-edge technology.
On September 15, 2020, the UAE became the first Gulf nation to establish formal relations with the Jewish state, and the third Arab country ever to do so after Egypt and Jordan in 1979 and 1994, respectively.
Bahrain signed on the same day, and later Sudan and Morocco also joined the US-brokered Abraham Accords to normalize ties with Israel.
Here are some key issues following the historic deal, which broke with decades of Arab policy that there should be no ties with Israel until it makes peace with the Palestinians.
What were the economic benefits?
The UAE and Israel have sought to emphasize the economic dividends offered by normalization, especially Dubai, which continuously seeks to expand its tourism, technology and business sectors.
The two sides have opened embassies in each other’s countries and signed a plethora of trade agreements.
Since last year, a number of Israeli start-ups in the fields of artificial intelligence, fintech and agriculture have set up shop in the UAE.
Business exchanges between the two countries, whose economies were hard-hit by the coronavirus pandemic, reached $500 million in August — excluding investments — after tourism, aviation and financial services deals were struck.
Meanwhile, the United States, a staunch Israel ally, approved a $23 billion sale of F-35 fighter jets to the UAE after the Emiratis recognized the Jewish state.
“The main benefits for the UAE have been economic,” Elham Fakhro, an analyst at the International Crisis Group think tank, told AFP.
“Tourism, cultural exchanges, cyber-security agreements, and diplomatic exchanges have benefitted the two states.”
According to Israel’s consulate in Dubai, nearly 200,000 Israelis have visited the UAE since the establishment of ties.
Will Saudi Arabia normalize ties too?
Gulf power broker Saudi Arabia has repeatedly said it would stick to its policy of not establishing formal ties with Israel until the conflict with the Palestinians is resolved.
But mutual concern over Iran has gradually brought Israel and Gulf Arab countries closer, and Riyadh has quietly been building relations with the Jewish state for several years. In November 2020 then-prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu covertly traveled to Saudi Arabia, where he met with Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman and US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo.
A screen showing the route of El Al Flight 972 from Abu Dhabi to Tel Aviv, crossing over Saudi Arabia, September 1, 2020 (Raphael Ahren/Times of Israel)
Following the UAE-Israel deal, the kingdom allowed some overflights from the Jewish state, but analysts say normalization between them is not in the offing.
“Riyadh appears unlikely to formally normalize ties with Israel under King Salman,” Hugh Lovatt, a policy fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations, told AFP. “But it is clear that the two countries do already enjoy a significant level of political and security dialogue.”
And according to Fakhro, if Saudi Arabia does normalize relations, it will be based “on its own terms… and internal calculations.”
What about the Palestinians?
Palestinian critics of the US-brokered deals have said that any normalization with Israel legitimizes the occupation of Palestinian territories.
According to the Emiratis, Israel agreed to suspend the annexation of West Bank territories, but Netanyahu said the plan was not off the table in the long run.
In May, Israel’s new Arab allies found themselves in an awkward position, putting out statements of condemnation after an escalation of violence between Israelis and Palestinians.
The violence in and around the Old City of Jerusalem was the worst since 2017, fueled by fighting with the Gaza Strip, restrictions imposed during the Muslim holy month of Ramadan, and a years-long dispute between Jewish landlords and Palestinian residents in an East Jerusalem neighborhood.
But according to analysts, the events had no impact on the normalization deals, with Fakhro saying the agreements “were never about the Palestinians.”
Lovatt also said that the normalization deals with the UAE and Bahrain were never in jeopardy.
“These are based on important bilateral interests that in reality have nothing to do with the Palestinian issue,” he said. “If anything, these events show just how robust these ties are.”
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