Saturday, July 13, 2024

Packers vs. Lions odds, prediction, betting trends for NFL ‘Monday Night Football’

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When the 0-1 Packers host the 0-1 Lions at Lambeau Field on Monday night (8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN and ESPN2), the winner will try to get into first place in the weak NFC North. Green Bay is looking to rebound from a nasty road loss to New Orleans in Jacksonville in Week 1, while Detroit is trying to carry over its momentum from a failed late rally at home vs. San Francisco.

Aaron Rodgers brushed off the blowout and in the past has come back strong from such routs with his Packers under Matt LaFleur. The Lions will hope that new leaders Jared Goff and Dan Campbell will have an answer to get their first win together.

Here’s everything to know about betting on Packers vs. Lions in Week 2, including updated odds, trends and our prediction for “Monday Night Football.”

49ers, Cowboys, Broncos climb; Steelers, Seahawks, Saints slide into Week 3

Packers vs. Lions odds for ‘Monday Night Football’

  • Spread: Packers by 12.5
  • Over/under: 48.5
  • Moneyine: Lions +460, Packers -620 

(betting odds per FanDuel Sportsbook)

The Packers have held steady as big double-digit favorites despite the Lions covering last week and their own failure against the Saints. There’s a sense there will be a big Lambeau Field bump in prime-time desperation.

Packers vs. Lions all-time series

The Packers hold a sizable advantage of 104-72-7 over their long-time division rivals. The Packers are riding a four-game winning streak. Before then, surprisingly, the Lions had won four in a row. The Packers have won 7 of 11, too, however.

Three trends to know

—72 percent of bettors like the Lions to cover the big number after the Packers lost badly to the Saints in Week 1

—79 percent of bettors think the total is too low, following that the Packers’ offense will rebound and the Lions will put up some garbage points.

—The Lions are 2-8 in their past 10 games but 5-5 against the spread. The total has gone over in 7 of those games. The Packers are 7-3 SU and 5-5 ATS in their past two, with six of those games going over.

MORE: Grading NFL’s rookie QBs after Week 2

Three things to watch

Davante Adams and Aaron Jones

Rodgers’ top wide receiver and feature back also struggled to do anything with him in the opener. The Lions’ secondary is a mess and their run defense couldn’t slow down the 49ers last week. Rodgers figures to play better but the matchups for this dynamic duo can also help the Packers dominate at home.

T.J. Hockenson and D’Andre Swift

Hockenson is the Lions’ elite young tight end who will lead the team in receiving for Goff. Swift is playing through his groin injury to be a dangerous receiving threat out of the backfield. The Packers had trouble with the Saints’ backs and tight ends in coverage in Week 1 so this combination will be key toward thinking upset.

Which Goff will show up?

Goff went to Cal like Rodgers and was a No. 1 overall pick unlike Rodgers. At times, Goff shows his best Rams self throwing the ball everywhere downfield. At other times, Goff shows his worst Rams self, forcing the ball into coverage. He needs to have a big game without mistakes to outduel Rodgers.

Stats that matter

14-0, 45 TDs. That’s Rodgers’ record as a starter following losses in the same regular season and how many scoring passes he has thrown in those games. He will come out firing and the Lions better be ready.

Packers vs. Lions prediction

The Rodgers-Jones-Adams 1-2-3 punch will be back rolling and will floor the Lions. The defense also will rebound at home to make life rough on Goff once the game script takes away the running for Detroit. Green Bay has too much firepower and Detroit doesn’t have enough especially when trailing big for another back-door cover on the road.

Packers 38, Lions 14

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